Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.886894 1.073135 1.269564 1.490535 1.730659 1.982321 2.264675
2025-02-09 0.682615 0.951682 1.254944 1.614824 2.023840 2.468750 2.984143
2025-02-16 0.554063 0.861447 1.225069 1.672256 2.194898 2.775985 3.461324
2025-02-23 0.439642 0.767880 1.175751 1.694590 2.316377 3.020869 3.864313
2025-03-02 0.317255 0.641049 1.067557 1.630605 2.323242 3.123001 4.094602
2025-03-09 0.218158 0.526254 0.959889 1.554928 2.306057 3.189098 4.276468
2025-03-16 0.153121 0.446786 0.888287 1.515866 2.325955 3.292729 4.496386
2025-03-23 0.119693 0.410923 0.872319 1.545427 2.428076 3.492367 4.827300
2025-03-30 0.087068 0.367445 0.839900 1.549025 2.494488 3.646718 5.102885
2025-04-06 0.056107 0.315797 0.788762 1.522423 2.518838 3.747258 5.312245
2025-04-13 0.045364 0.305800 0.801554 1.584076 2.656940 3.987287 5.688891
2025-04-20 0.036944 0.298578 0.817590 1.649595 2.799710 4.232956 6.072405
2025-04-27 0.031934 0.301440 0.853956 1.750215 2.996820 4.556065 6.562253
2025-05-04 0.029114 0.310554 0.901818 1.869131 3.220472 4.915133 7.099393
2025-05-11 0.021921 0.301052 0.915535 1.936688 3.374599 5.186280 7.528719
2025-05-18 0.012875 0.276491 0.899776 1.959039 3.467243 5.379802 7.863339
2025-05-25 0.003018 0.224503 0.826466 1.890406 3.433795 5.411927 7.998691
2025-06-01 NaN 0.174858 0.748144 1.808216 3.377670 5.412153 8.092239
2025-06-08 NaN 0.142335 0.697991 1.765896 3.373344 5.475890 8.261589
2025-06-15 NaN 0.131511 0.694360 1.797953 3.472940 5.673543 8.597337
2025-06-22 NaN 0.115062 0.674530 1.801861 3.531795 5.817803 8.866157
2025-06-29 NaN 0.093350 0.636600 1.772997 3.542325 5.898049 9.054123
2025-07-06 NaN 0.092727 0.654655 1.839862 3.690942 6.159451 9.469897